Bitcoin Price Respects Support Zone — Bulls Eye Fresh Rally

Bitcoin price remained supported above the $107,500 zone. BTC is now recovering losses and might aim for a move above the $109,200 resistance.

  • Bitcoin started a recovery wave above the $108,000 zone.
  • The price is trading above $108,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average.
  • There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $109,050 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
  • The pair could start a fresh increase if it stays above the $107,500 zone.
Bitcoin Price Eyes Upside Break Bitcoin price started a fresh decline after it failed near the $110,000 zone. BTC declined below the $108,500 and $108,000 levels before the bulls appeared. A low was formed at $107,650 and the price started a recovery wave. There was a move above the $108,500 resistance zone. The price climbed above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $109,700 swing high to the $107,500 low. Bitcoin is now trading above $108,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. The first key resistance is near the $109,050 level. Besides, there is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $109,050 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. The next resistance could be $109,200 or the 76.4% Fib level of the downward move from the $109,700 swing high to the $107,500 low. A close above the $109,200 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $110,000 resistance level. Any more gains might send the price toward the $112,000 level. The main target could be $115,000. Another Decline In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $109,200 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $108,400 level. The first major support is near the $108,200 level. The next support is now near the $107,500 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $105,500 support in the near term. The main support sits at $103,500, below which BTC might continue to move down. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $108,500, followed by $107,500. Major Resistance Levels – $109,200 and $110,000.

Bitcoin Bull Flag Breakout Confirmed — What Happens Next?

Bitcoin has broken out of the orange bull flag on the 1-hour chart. After consolidating within a tight range, the breakout suggests that momentum is shifting back in favor of the bulls, and potentially setting the stage for a rapid push toward higher resistance levels. Pullback Or Launchpad? What Bitcoin’s Next Move Could Look Like According to MaxFINEancial’s latest analysis on X, he highlighted that a large green double bottom is forming within an orange bull flag on the 1-hour chart, which is a bullish continuation setup. The local high was a test of the trigger line of the double bottom, which signaled intent from the bulls. BTC is retesting the upper edge of the bull flag, aligning with the 1-hour 200-day MA, a critical dynamic support level that often dictates short-term momentum. MaxFINEancial projects a small pink bullish pennant forming and setting up for a continuation move higher. However, a rare diamond top pattern could also be taking shape, a bearish reversal formation that, if validated, may trigger a sharp downside move. If BTC loses the 1-hour 200-day MA, he advises shifting focus to the 4-hour 200-day MA, which is the line of defense. The important bullish area targets are $113,700, $115,867, $117,030, and $122,143, while the bearish diamond top target is $103,079. Market analyst A_y has also highlighted that Bitcoin is consolidating below the $110,000 resistance on the 4-hour chart, with the structure forming a textbook ascending triangle. This setup is the rising higher lows against horizontal resistance that precedes a strong breakout. If BTC manages to break above $110,000, the move could accelerate toward the $112,000 to $114,000 range, marking a bullish trend. However, failure to breach this ceiling may lead to a pullback toward $104,000, where previous demand has stepped in. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is neutral, suggesting that there is room for momentum to build, while the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) shows a bullish crossover, that is hinting at potential upward momentum, BTC is still trading below the EMA, which means bulls need to prove strength for a confirmed breakout. Bitcoin Stable At $108,000 — Market Cooling, Not Crashing In an update on X, Chad_TattoosMD also emphasized that Bitcoin is showing resilience and holding strong around the $108,000 level despite the recent dip. BTC is maintaining its structure and refusing to break lower, which is a sign of underlying buyer confidence. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits at neutral 54, indicating no extreme momentum in either direction. Meanwhile, the Stochastic (RSI) has entered overbought territory and is now cooling off, hinting at a potential short-term pullback. However, nothing on the chart suggests a breakdown is imminent. Chad_TattoosMD also points to $106,000 as the key support, and $112,000 as the resistance, which remains in a tight zone on the chart.

Bitcoin Absorbs Strong Selling Pressure On Binance Derivatives – Breakout Ahead?

Bitcoin (BTC) has remained range-bound between $100,000 and $110,000 since May 7, aside from a few dips to as low as $98,000 in June, which were quickly followed by daily candle closes above the $100,000 level. Recent analysis reveals that BTC has withstood sustained selling pressure on Binance Derivatives throughout this period. Bitcoin Withstands Binance Derivatives Sell-Off According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor BorisVest, taker users on Binance Derivatives have consistently engaged in sell-side activity for at least the past 45 days. Notably, the Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) has remained negative throughout this time. For the uninitiated, the CVD measures the net difference between market buy  – aggressive buying – and market sell – aggressive selling – orders over time. It helps traders identify whether buying or selling pressure is dominating, even if price remains stable. BorisVest noted that Binance Derivatives traders are treating each BTC bounce or rally as a selling opportunity, opening aggressive short positions via market sell orders. However, this strong sell pressure has failed to push prices lower, as BTC continues to absorb the selling activity and maintain support above $100,000. The analyst added that as long as BTC remains within its current range – between $100,000 and $110,000 – while absorbing sell pressure, the potential for upside remains intact. He explained: The CVD metric plays a crucial role here. It aggregates both taker and maker activity to provide a real-time picture of net buy/sell pressure. The fact that CVD remains in decline confirms the dominance of sell-side flow. Yet, the inability of price to drop further despite this pressure may signal that Bitcoin is being absorbed by institutional or large players in the background. That said, other analysts interpret the persistent selling pressure differently. For example, fellow CryptoQuant analyst Crazzyblockk recently observed that new buyer demand is struggling to keep pace with the combined supply pressure from newly mined BTC and selling by long-term holders. BTC Eyeing A Breakout Ahead? Bitcoin’s resilience in the face of heavy selling on Binance Derivatives has once again sparked speculation about a potential breakout. Several additional data points suggest that BTC may be poised to move into a higher price range soon. For instance, recent on-chain data shows that “weak hands” are offloading their BTC holdings to larger, more established investors – indicating a broader shift in sentiment favoring Bitcoin. Meanwhile, institutional interest in the asset continues to grow. Additionally, the Bitcoin Yearly Percentage Trend suggests that BTC could top out around $205,000 by the end of 2025. At press time, BTC trades at $108,589, up 0.4% in the past 24 hours.

Bitcoin & Stablecoin Reserves Diverge On Binance: Liquidity Explosion Brewing?

On-chain data shows the Binance Exchange Reserve has diverged between Bitcoin and the stablecoins. Here’s what this could mean for the market. Bitcoin & Stablecoin Exchange Reserves Have Decoupled On Binance In a CryptoQuant Quicktake post, an analyst has talked about the latest trend in the Binance Exchange Reserve for Bitcoin and the stablecoins. The “Exchange Reserve” here refers to an on-chain metric that keeps track of the total amount of a given asset that’s sitting on the wallets attached to a centralized exchange. When the value of this metric rises, it means the holders are making net deposits of the asset to the platform. Generally, investors use exchanges when they want to participate in trading activities, so them making inflows could signal appetite for trading the coin away. For cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, this is something that can naturally have a bearish impact on the price. The same, however, isn’t true in the case of the stablecoins, as they are, by definition, always stable around the same value as the fiat currency that they are pegged to. Investors usually store their capital in the form of these tokens when they want to avoid the volatility associated with assets like Bitcoin. Many of them, however, plan to eventually return back to the volatile side. Once they have decided to make the switch, they transfer their stablecoins to exchanges. When they make the swap to a coin like Bitcoin, its price naturally observes a buying boost. As such, stablecoin inflows can be bullish for the volatile cryptocurrencies. Now, here is the chart shared by the analyst that shows the trend in the Exchange Reserve of Binance for Bitcoin and the stablecoins over the last couple of years: As displayed in the above graph, the Binance Exchange Reserve for the two asset classes showed some correlation in 2024. But by the end of the year, a shift had occurred, with the stablecoins witnessing sharp inflows and Bitcoin outflows. The two have remained decoupled in 2025 so far, although their trends no longer diverge as extremely. The stablecoin Binance exchange reserve has recently been trending sideways, while the one for Bitcoin has rapidly been moving down. Thus, it would appear that there is a large amount of fiat-tied tokens on the exchange potentially waiting to be deployed into the volatile side and at the same time, investors are also pulling out BTC supply, hinting at ongoing accumulation. This could hint at bullish conditions aligning on the largest cryptocurrency exchange, but it only remains to be seen whether the setup would reflect in the Bitcoin price or not. BTC Price Bitcoin is holding steady as its price is still trading around the $108,800 level.

Ethereum Is Already Outperforming Bitcoin In July, Is Altcoin Season Here?

With one week already gone in the month of July, Ethereum has already begun to perform better than Bitcoin. While the gap is still very close, the outperformance of Ethereum over Bitcoin for only the second time this year could signal the entrance of better things for the altcoin market. If this continues, then an altcoin season might be on the horizon, as historical data shows it always begins with ETH outperforming BTC. So, let’s take a look at how both assets have been performing. Ethereum Barrels Ahead Of Bitcoin In July So far, in the month of July, the Ethereum price has been putting in more green candles, suggesting that bulls are making their move again. This has led to a small outperformance when compared to the Bitcoin price over this time period and could be the signal that altcoin season could be starting soon. Data from the CryptoRank website shows that Ethereum is already up more than 2.50% since the start of July. Meanwhile, the Bitcoin price, while having seen some price increases, is up only 1.20% at the time of this writing. Thus, Ethereum is already performing better in the month of July. If this outperformance continues, then this would be only the second time that the Ethereum price will be doing better than the Bitcoin price so far in 2025. The first was back in May, when the Ethereum price rallied by over 41% in one month. This was major compared to Bitcoin’s 11.1% move in that month. However, while the Bitcoin rally in the month of May saw its price reach new all-time highs, Ethereum continues to struggle and remains below its $4,800 all-time high levels. Nevertheless, Ethereum’s rally did translate to bullishness for the altcoin market as the likes of PEPE and BONK rallied by more than 100% in response to this. Given that Ethereum has led the altcoin season in the past, its outperformance of Bitcoin at this level remains a positive. If it continues, then the altcoin market could start to see further increases in price. And if Ethereum rises another 41% from here, it would put it right on the path to $4,000. However, the month of July has not historically been the best month for Ethereum, with an average return of +5.13%. The whole of the third quarter of the year is also a mixed bag for the altcoin, with an equal number of green and red closes over the last decade. Thus, it remains to be seen how the ETH price will perform this quarter and if it can successfully outpace Bitcoin.

Elon Musk Confirms New America Party Will Accept Bitcoin

Tesla CEO and tech mogul Elon Musk has officially confirmed that his newly formed political party, the America Party, will accept BTC ▲0.19%. Responding to an X user who asked whether his party would embrace BTC, Musk replied bluntly: “Fiat is hopeless, so yes.” — Elon Musk Pitched as a jailbreak from the Democratic-Republican duopoly, the America Party announcement came alongside a sudden surge in Dogecoin. Whether coincidence or calculated, the signal was clear that Musk still has enormous market sway in crypto. DogecoinPriceMarket CapDOGE$25.72B24h7d30d1yAll time DISCOVER: Best New Cryptocurrencies to Invest in 2025 Tesla’s Bitcoin History and Musk’s Crypto Legacy Elon Musk made waves in early 2021 by parking $1.5 billion of Tesla’s treasury into Bitcoin. Fast forward, Tesla’s 11,509 BTC stash is now worth roughly $1.26 billion, which is enough to place it ninth among public companies holding crypto. While the company briefly accepted BTC for vehicle payments, it later paused the program citing environmental concerns. However, the infrastructure for future integration may still be in play. JUST IN: Elon Musk said his new political party will embrace #Bitcoin “Fiat is hopeless” pic.twitter.com/LGpFEugTvs — Bitcoin Magazine (@BitcoinMagazine) July 7, 2025 Musk’s decision to launch a new political party comes amid growing tensions with former President Donald Trump. The friction escalated after Trump unveiled his “One Big Beautiful Bill,” a proposed economic plan projected to add $3.3 trillion to the U.S. national debt. “Utterly insane and destructive.” — Elon Musk Political Rift with Trump Over Crypto and Debt Musk began his split from Trump when he questioned the logic of launching initiatives aimed at reducing the debt while simultaneously inflating it with such policies. “When it comes to bankrupting our country with waste & graft, we live in a one-party system, not a democracy,” Musk posted online shortly after criticizing Trump’s landmark ‘Big Beautiful Bill.’ These comments reflect a broader dissatisfaction with both political parties and laid the groundwork for Musk’s America Party, which he describes as one that “actually cares about the people.” DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 Dogecoin Price Surges on Political Speculation The crypto market responded quickly to Musk’s political move. Dogecoin rallied more than 5% following the announcement, rising from $0.163 to $0.171. Trading volume exceeded $1.1 billion, with whale wallets aggressively accumulating DOGE even as smaller holders sold off positions. Bitcoin’s sitting comfortably above $108,000, but the bigger setup may be geopolitical. Musk’s renewed crypto activity, combined with dovish Fed rumors, all hint at a convergence of forces that could light a fire under BTC in the coming months. EXPLORE: Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino Hopes For Net Positive From US Elections, Says Bitcoin Strategic Reserve Is A Great Idea: 99Bitcoins Exclusive Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates Key Takeaways

  • Tesla CEO and tech mogul Elon Musk has officially confirmed that his newly formed political party.
  • All eyes are on Powell this month. As inflation lingers and labor metrics soften.
The post Elon Musk Confirms New America Party Will Accept Bitcoin appeared first on 99Bitcoins.

US Spot Bitcoin ETFs See Strong Momentum with Over $800M Inflows in Three Days

Institutional money is pouring back into  U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs at record rates. Bitcoin exchange-traded funds kicked off the week with a combined $217 million in net inflows, while Ether ETFs added another $62.11 million, continuing a strong start to July. BTC ▲0.19% volatility may be on summer break, but with this sort of volume, Q3 and Q4 are set to send many coins to all-time highs. Increasingly, investors are asking: Why wouldn’t the world adopt the Bitcoin standard instead of impotently complaining about the inflation of fiat currencies year after year? Here’s what’s next for the price of Bitcoin: BlackRock’s IBIT Bitcoin ETF Smashes Through 700,000 BTC According to Glassnode data, BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) now holds over 700,000 Bitcoin, equivalent to 3.52% of the total circulating supply, a milestone reached just 18 months after launch. With nearly $53 billion in net inflows, IBIT has become the fastest-growing ETF in financial history. According to financial analyst Jamie Elkaleh, Bitget Wallet, “If ETF inflows continue, we could be entering the early stages of a structural supply squeeze.” BlackRock holds 700k btc now, and is 62% of the way there to passing Satoshi as world's largest single holder of bitcoin (ETFs as gp already there). IBIT has gobbled up 40k btc a month (or 1.3k/day) on pace to hit 1.2m in May '26 (not bad for 2yr old infant) h/t @EdmondsonShaun pic.twitter.com/hwpHExznF7 — Eric Balchunas (@EricBalchunas) July 8, 2025 Ether funds are also gaining traction. BlackRock’s ETHA saw $53.21 million in new inflows, with Fidelity’s FETH adding $8.9 million. The fund reported zero outflows for the week, indicating growing investor confidence in Ethereum’s long-term prospects. Market Calm May Mask Coming Volatility Despite the bullish inflows, 99Bitcoins analysts warn that current price stability may not last. Bitcoin is trading within 2% of its all-time high, but volatility is near historic lows. According to QCP Capital, the market has priced in a “Goldilocks” scenario if we are to see delayed tariffs, rate cuts, and sustained fiscal spending. BitcoinPriceMarket CapBTC$2.16T24h7d30d1yAll time Total ETF trading volume for Tuesday exceeded $2.89 billion, with net assets across all crypto-linked products rising to $135.71 billion for Bitcoin and $10.71 billion for Ethereum. Bitcoin ETFs Aside, Trump’s Tariff Deadline Looms as Macro Wildcard Markets are watching closely as President Donald Trump’s August 1 tariff deadline approaches. So far, risk assets, including BTC, have brushed off the threat, assuming a delay or backpedal. As the “Taco” saying coined by the Financial Times goes: TRUMP
ALWAYS
CHICKENS
OUT However, should Trump follow through, it could reshape the second half of the year. For now, crypto ETFs are thriving on calm macro conditions and bullish momentum. But with volatility compressed and geopolitical risk brewing, investors should be prepared for sharp moves in either direction for the summer. EXPLORE: XRP Price Jumps 11% After SEC Crypto Unit Tease XRP ETF Progress Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates Key Takeaways

  • Institutional money is pouring back into  U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs at record rates.
  • Markets are watching closely as President Donald Trump’s August 1 tariff deadline approaches. So far, risk assets, including BTC, have brushed off the threat.
The post US Spot Bitcoin ETFs See Strong Momentum with Over $800M Inflows in Three Days appeared first on 99Bitcoins.

Bitcoin Trading Below Historical Bull Market Levels: Mayer Multiple Suggests BTC Is Undervalued

Bitcoin is holding steady above the $108,000 level, maintaining a bullish structure despite repeated failures to break through its all-time high near $112,000. The price is consolidating in a tight short-term range, and whichever side breaks first will likely set the tone for the coming weeks. This period of low volatility may be the calm before the storm, as buyers and sellers prepare for the next major move. According to data from CryptoQuant, the Mayer Multiple — a classic indicator that measures Bitcoin’s price relative to its 200-day moving average — currently stands at 1.1x. This puts BTC in the “neutral” zone (0.8–1.5x), far below the overbought conditions typically seen in the late stages of bull markets. Historically, readings below 1.5x suggest that Bitcoin still has significant upside potential before hitting speculative extremes. As the market awaits a breakout, investors are closely watching this metric for confirmation that BTC is still undervalued compared to past bull cycles. If Bitcoin can hold its current levels and push decisively above resistance, the neutral Mayer Multiple reading could serve as a launchpad for a renewed bullish trend — but failure to break out may invite a wave of short-term selling. Bitcoin Holds Firm Amid Mixed Signals Bitcoin price action has left many bulls frustrated, as the market continues to grind below its all-time high without a clear breakout. After weeks of consolidation near the $110K mark, traders are bracing for a decisive move. While the structure remains intact and support has held above $105K, the failure to push above previous highs could increase the probability of a sharp correction, potentially dragging BTC below critical demand levels that have served as a floor for the past month. On the macro front, uncertainty appears to be easing. Conflicts in the Middle East are winding down, and US stock markets continue to set new all-time highs, signaling renewed risk appetite. However, not all signals are bullish. Rising inflation and elevated US Treasury yields have reintroduced systemic risk concerns, keeping investors on alert. Top analyst Axel Adler offered a more optimistic perspective, pointing to the Mayer Multiple — a time-tested model that compares BTC price to its 200-day moving average. Currently sitting at 1.1x, the indicator remains firmly within the neutral zone (0.8–1.5x) and well below levels historically associated with market tops. Adler notes that this suggests Bitcoin is still trading at a discount to previous bull markets, and could have significant room to rally if momentum returns. With mixed macroeconomic data and a neutral valuation model, Bitcoin’s next move will depend on whether bulls can reclaim control. A clean breakout above all-time highs would likely ignite a new phase of price discovery. But until then, caution prevails — the longer BTC stalls, the more likely sellers will test support. BTC Consolidates Below All-Time High Bitcoin continues to consolidate just below its all-time high, trading at $108,474 at the time of writing. The 3-day chart shows price action tightly compressed between key levels, with strong support at $103,600 and resistance at $109,300 — the latter being tested repeatedly over the last two weeks. This range-bound structure reflects indecision as bulls attempt to break higher, while bears fail to reclaim control. Notably, BTC remains firmly above the 50-day (blue), 100-day (green), and 200-day (red) moving averages, indicating underlying strength in the trend. Volume remains moderate, but it has picked up during upward moves, suggesting continued buy-side interest near support. The longer BTC holds above $105K and maintains this higher low structure, the greater the probability of a breakout toward uncharted territory above $112K. However, rejection at the $109K level could lead to another retest of support zones. Momentum indicators, while not shown, are likely flattening, consistent with the sideways action. Given the narrowing range and rising tension between support and resistance, a decisive move is imminent. Traders should watch for a clean breakout above $109,300 or breakdown below $103,600 — either will likely define Bitcoin’s direction heading into Q3. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

Metaplanet Moves On Digital Bank Acquisition As It Scales Bitcoin Strategy

Tokyo-listed Metaplanet has quietly become one of the world’s biggest corporate Bitcoin holders. It owns 15,555 BTC today. Based on reports, its CEO Simon Gerovich wants to boost that to more than 210,000 BTC by 2027. That goal would put the firm’s stash at 1% of all Bitcoin that will ever exist. Racing To Build A Bitcoin Nest Egg According to Gerovich, the company started buying Bitcoin in 2024. At first, it was just a hedge against rising prices. Now it feels more like a sprint. On Monday, Metaplanet spent $237 million to add 2,204 BTC to its vault. At about $108,600 per coin, that purchase lifted its average price per BTC to roughly $99,985. Investors have taken notice. The share price is up 340% this year, even though the company still makes only modest revenue. Japanese microstrategy Metaplanet announced that its Bitcoin strategy has entered the second phase, planning to use BTC as collateral leverage to acquire cash flow businesses. Potential targets include Japanese digital banks, providing digital banking services that are better… — Wu Blockchain (@WuBlockchain) July 8, 2025 Plans To Turn Crypto Into Cash According to reports, Metaplanet has two phases for this strategy. Phase one is about accumulation. Phase two will use Bitcoin as collateral to borrow cash. That borrowed money would fund deals to buy profitable businesses. Gerovich has mentioned a digital bank in Japan as an example. He thinks the firm could offer better services than current banks provide. In April, big names such as Standard Chartered and OKX began pilot programs for crypto‑backed loans. Metaplanet hopes to follow their lead but on a larger scale. Sizing Up The Competition Metaplanet now ranks among the top five companies in Bitcoin holdings. For comparison, Strategy holds over 597,000 BTC and sports a $112 billion market cap. Metaplanet, by contrast, has a market value above $7 billion. Both companies believe that Bitcoin will outperform cash over the long haul. But Gerovich has ruled out convertible debt. He prefers issuing preferred shares. He doesn’t want to face arbitrary repayments tied to a shifting share price. Promises And Pitfalls Of A Bitcoin‑Powered Model Borrowing against Bitcoin carries risks. Banks usually put steep “haircuts” on collateral. If Bitcoin’s price slides, Metaplanet could face margin calls. Regulators in Japan have yet to fully embrace crypto‑backed lending. That uncertainty could slow down or even halt the plan. Then there is the challenge of integrating a digital bank. Metaplanet started as a hotel operator. Running a bank requires a very different skill set. Metaplanet’s gamble is bold. It offers a fresh twist on how companies can use Bitcoin. If all goes well, it could pioneer a new breed of corporate finance. If things go wrong, this Tokyo firm may struggle under the weight of its own ambition. Either way, its next moves will be watched closely by both crypto bulls and wary bankers. Featured image from Meta, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin Volatility Hits Bull Cycle Low – Bollinger Bands Signal Potential Breakout

Bitcoin has remained in a tight consolidation range below its all-time high of $112,000 since late May, frustrating both bulls and bears. Despite multiple failed breakout attempts, BTC has held key demand zones above critical support levels, suggesting strong underlying strength. As price compresses, volatility is declining — a classic sign that a major move could be imminent. Top analyst Axel Adler shared fresh data indicating that Bitcoin is currently experiencing a textbook Bollinger Bands squeeze. The spread between the upper and lower bands has narrowed to just 7.7%, marking one of the tightest ranges seen throughout the current bull cycle. Historically, such compressions have preceded explosive moves in either direction. Given Bitcoin’s position above support and within a broader uptrend, the probability favors an upside breakout. This technical setup, combined with macroeconomic tailwinds and renewed investor interest, could serve as the catalyst for BTC to finally push into price discovery. If confirmed, it would not only open the door for a run beyond $112K but also reset expectations across the crypto market. In the coming days, all eyes will be on how Bitcoin responds to this mounting pressure. Bitcoin Consolidates As Bollinger Bands Squeeze Signals Next Move Bitcoin continues to consolidate just below its all-time high of $112,000, frustrating bulls and bears alike. Despite ongoing resistance at the top, bears have failed to drive the price below $105,000, confirming strong demand at key support levels. As the price tightens, the broader macroeconomic picture adds complexity to the outlook. The US Congress recently passed President Donald Trump’s “big, beautiful” economic bill just before the July 4 deadline. The package includes tax cuts and aggressive public spending, which are expected to fuel inflation in the coming quarters. Coupled with optimistic job data, these developments are shaping investor sentiment across traditional and crypto markets. On the technical side, Axel Adler highlighted a classic Bollinger Bands squeeze currently forming on Bitcoin’s chart. The range between the upper and lower bands has compressed to just 7.7%—one of the tightest readings seen throughout the ongoing bull cycle. This kind of volatility drop suggests energy accumulation, with the price preparing for a significant move. Historical patterns offer insight: of six major Bollinger Band squeezes this cycle, four resulted in immediate upside moves, and two triggered brief corrections before rallies resumed. With this precedent, Adler believes the current setup most likely foreshadows a bullish breakout, although minor consolidation beforehand is still possible. BTC Price Holds Above Key Moving Averages The 12-hour Bitcoin chart shows BTC trading at $108,892, struggling to break above the key resistance zone around $109,300. This level has acted as a rejection point multiple times since early June, confirming its strength. Despite the recent pullback, price remains above the 50 SMA ($106,442) and 100 SMA ($106,671), indicating bullish momentum is still in play. Importantly, bulls have defended the $106,000–$107,000 support range several times, preventing deeper corrections and keeping BTC within a tight consolidation range. Volume has declined in recent sessions, suggesting the market is waiting for a catalyst to break out of this range. If Bitcoin closes decisively above $109,300 on strong volume, a run toward the $112,000 all-time high becomes increasingly likely. On the downside, a break below the 100 SMA could expose BTC to the next major support around $103,600, a key level that has held since mid-May. The 200 SMA (currently at $99,093) remains a long-term support zone that hasn’t been tested in months. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView