Bitcoin price remained supported above the $107,500 zone. BTC is now recovering losses and might aim for a move above the $109,200 resistance.
Bitcoin has broken out of the orange bull flag on the 1-hour chart. After consolidating within a tight range, the breakout suggests that momentum is shifting back in favor of the bulls, and potentially setting the stage for a rapid push toward higher resistance levels. Pullback Or Launchpad? What Bitcoin’s Next Move Could Look Like According to MaxFINEancial’s latest analysis on X, he highlighted that a large green double bottom is forming within an orange bull flag on the 1-hour chart, which is a bullish continuation setup. The local high was a test of the trigger line of the double bottom, which signaled intent from the bulls. BTC is retesting the upper edge of the bull flag, aligning with the 1-hour 200-day MA, a critical dynamic support level that often dictates short-term momentum. MaxFINEancial projects a small pink bullish pennant forming and setting up for a continuation move higher. However, a rare diamond top pattern could also be taking shape, a bearish reversal formation that, if validated, may trigger a sharp downside move. If BTC loses the 1-hour 200-day MA, he advises shifting focus to the 4-hour 200-day MA, which is the line of defense. The important bullish area targets are $113,700, $115,867, $117,030, and $122,143, while the bearish diamond top target is $103,079. Market analyst A_y has also highlighted that Bitcoin is consolidating below the $110,000 resistance on the 4-hour chart, with the structure forming a textbook ascending triangle. This setup is the rising higher lows against horizontal resistance that precedes a strong breakout. If BTC manages to break above $110,000, the move could accelerate toward the $112,000 to $114,000 range, marking a bullish trend. However, failure to breach this ceiling may lead to a pullback toward $104,000, where previous demand has stepped in. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is neutral, suggesting that there is room for momentum to build, while the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) shows a bullish crossover, that is hinting at potential upward momentum, BTC is still trading below the EMA, which means bulls need to prove strength for a confirmed breakout. Bitcoin Stable At $108,000 — Market Cooling, Not Crashing In an update on X, Chad_TattoosMD also emphasized that Bitcoin is showing resilience and holding strong around the $108,000 level despite the recent dip. BTC is maintaining its structure and refusing to break lower, which is a sign of underlying buyer confidence. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits at neutral 54, indicating no extreme momentum in either direction. Meanwhile, the Stochastic (RSI) has entered overbought territory and is now cooling off, hinting at a potential short-term pullback. However, nothing on the chart suggests a breakdown is imminent. Chad_TattoosMD also points to $106,000 as the key support, and $112,000 as the resistance, which remains in a tight zone on the chart.
Bitcoin (BTC) has remained range-bound between $100,000 and $110,000 since May 7, aside from a few dips to as low as $98,000 in June, which were quickly followed by daily candle closes above the $100,000 level. Recent analysis reveals that BTC has withstood sustained selling pressure on Binance Derivatives throughout this period. Bitcoin Withstands Binance Derivatives Sell-Off According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor BorisVest, taker users on Binance Derivatives have consistently engaged in sell-side activity for at least the past 45 days. Notably, the Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) has remained negative throughout this time. For the uninitiated, the CVD measures the net difference between market buy – aggressive buying – and market sell – aggressive selling – orders over time. It helps traders identify whether buying or selling pressure is dominating, even if price remains stable. BorisVest noted that Binance Derivatives traders are treating each BTC bounce or rally as a selling opportunity, opening aggressive short positions via market sell orders. However, this strong sell pressure has failed to push prices lower, as BTC continues to absorb the selling activity and maintain support above $100,000. The analyst added that as long as BTC remains within its current range – between $100,000 and $110,000 – while absorbing sell pressure, the potential for upside remains intact. He explained: The CVD metric plays a crucial role here. It aggregates both taker and maker activity to provide a real-time picture of net buy/sell pressure. The fact that CVD remains in decline confirms the dominance of sell-side flow. Yet, the inability of price to drop further despite this pressure may signal that Bitcoin is being absorbed by institutional or large players in the background. That said, other analysts interpret the persistent selling pressure differently. For example, fellow CryptoQuant analyst Crazzyblockk recently observed that new buyer demand is struggling to keep pace with the combined supply pressure from newly mined BTC and selling by long-term holders. BTC Eyeing A Breakout Ahead? Bitcoin’s resilience in the face of heavy selling on Binance Derivatives has once again sparked speculation about a potential breakout. Several additional data points suggest that BTC may be poised to move into a higher price range soon. For instance, recent on-chain data shows that “weak hands” are offloading their BTC holdings to larger, more established investors – indicating a broader shift in sentiment favoring Bitcoin. Meanwhile, institutional interest in the asset continues to grow. Additionally, the Bitcoin Yearly Percentage Trend suggests that BTC could top out around $205,000 by the end of 2025. At press time, BTC trades at $108,589, up 0.4% in the past 24 hours.
On-chain data shows the Binance Exchange Reserve has diverged between Bitcoin and the stablecoins. Here’s what this could mean for the market. Bitcoin & Stablecoin Exchange Reserves Have Decoupled On Binance In a CryptoQuant Quicktake post, an analyst has talked about the latest trend in the Binance Exchange Reserve for Bitcoin and the stablecoins. The “Exchange Reserve” here refers to an on-chain metric that keeps track of the total amount of a given asset that’s sitting on the wallets attached to a centralized exchange. When the value of this metric rises, it means the holders are making net deposits of the asset to the platform. Generally, investors use exchanges when they want to participate in trading activities, so them making inflows could signal appetite for trading the coin away. For cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, this is something that can naturally have a bearish impact on the price. The same, however, isn’t true in the case of the stablecoins, as they are, by definition, always stable around the same value as the fiat currency that they are pegged to. Investors usually store their capital in the form of these tokens when they want to avoid the volatility associated with assets like Bitcoin. Many of them, however, plan to eventually return back to the volatile side. Once they have decided to make the switch, they transfer their stablecoins to exchanges. When they make the swap to a coin like Bitcoin, its price naturally observes a buying boost. As such, stablecoin inflows can be bullish for the volatile cryptocurrencies. Now, here is the chart shared by the analyst that shows the trend in the Exchange Reserve of Binance for Bitcoin and the stablecoins over the last couple of years: As displayed in the above graph, the Binance Exchange Reserve for the two asset classes showed some correlation in 2024. But by the end of the year, a shift had occurred, with the stablecoins witnessing sharp inflows and Bitcoin outflows. The two have remained decoupled in 2025 so far, although their trends no longer diverge as extremely. The stablecoin Binance exchange reserve has recently been trending sideways, while the one for Bitcoin has rapidly been moving down. Thus, it would appear that there is a large amount of fiat-tied tokens on the exchange potentially waiting to be deployed into the volatile side and at the same time, investors are also pulling out BTC supply, hinting at ongoing accumulation. This could hint at bullish conditions aligning on the largest cryptocurrency exchange, but it only remains to be seen whether the setup would reflect in the Bitcoin price or not. BTC Price Bitcoin is holding steady as its price is still trading around the $108,800 level.
With one week already gone in the month of July, Ethereum has already begun to perform better than Bitcoin. While the gap is still very close, the outperformance of Ethereum over Bitcoin for only the second time this year could signal the entrance of better things for the altcoin market. If this continues, then an altcoin season might be on the horizon, as historical data shows it always begins with ETH outperforming BTC. So, let’s take a look at how both assets have been performing. Ethereum Barrels Ahead Of Bitcoin In July So far, in the month of July, the Ethereum price has been putting in more green candles, suggesting that bulls are making their move again. This has led to a small outperformance when compared to the Bitcoin price over this time period and could be the signal that altcoin season could be starting soon. Data from the CryptoRank website shows that Ethereum is already up more than 2.50% since the start of July. Meanwhile, the Bitcoin price, while having seen some price increases, is up only 1.20% at the time of this writing. Thus, Ethereum is already performing better in the month of July. If this outperformance continues, then this would be only the second time that the Ethereum price will be doing better than the Bitcoin price so far in 2025. The first was back in May, when the Ethereum price rallied by over 41% in one month. This was major compared to Bitcoin’s 11.1% move in that month. However, while the Bitcoin rally in the month of May saw its price reach new all-time highs, Ethereum continues to struggle and remains below its $4,800 all-time high levels. Nevertheless, Ethereum’s rally did translate to bullishness for the altcoin market as the likes of PEPE and BONK rallied by more than 100% in response to this. Given that Ethereum has led the altcoin season in the past, its outperformance of Bitcoin at this level remains a positive. If it continues, then the altcoin market could start to see further increases in price. And if Ethereum rises another 41% from here, it would put it right on the path to $4,000. However, the month of July has not historically been the best month for Ethereum, with an average return of +5.13%. The whole of the third quarter of the year is also a mixed bag for the altcoin, with an equal number of green and red closes over the last decade. Thus, it remains to be seen how the ETH price will perform this quarter and if it can successfully outpace Bitcoin.
Bitcoin is holding steady above the $108,000 level, maintaining a bullish structure despite repeated failures to break through its all-time high near $112,000. The price is consolidating in a tight short-term range, and whichever side breaks first will likely set the tone for the coming weeks. This period of low volatility may be the calm before the storm, as buyers and sellers prepare for the next major move. According to data from CryptoQuant, the Mayer Multiple — a classic indicator that measures Bitcoin’s price relative to its 200-day moving average — currently stands at 1.1x. This puts BTC in the “neutral” zone (0.8–1.5x), far below the overbought conditions typically seen in the late stages of bull markets. Historically, readings below 1.5x suggest that Bitcoin still has significant upside potential before hitting speculative extremes. As the market awaits a breakout, investors are closely watching this metric for confirmation that BTC is still undervalued compared to past bull cycles. If Bitcoin can hold its current levels and push decisively above resistance, the neutral Mayer Multiple reading could serve as a launchpad for a renewed bullish trend — but failure to break out may invite a wave of short-term selling. Bitcoin Holds Firm Amid Mixed Signals Bitcoin price action has left many bulls frustrated, as the market continues to grind below its all-time high without a clear breakout. After weeks of consolidation near the $110K mark, traders are bracing for a decisive move. While the structure remains intact and support has held above $105K, the failure to push above previous highs could increase the probability of a sharp correction, potentially dragging BTC below critical demand levels that have served as a floor for the past month. On the macro front, uncertainty appears to be easing. Conflicts in the Middle East are winding down, and US stock markets continue to set new all-time highs, signaling renewed risk appetite. However, not all signals are bullish. Rising inflation and elevated US Treasury yields have reintroduced systemic risk concerns, keeping investors on alert. Top analyst Axel Adler offered a more optimistic perspective, pointing to the Mayer Multiple — a time-tested model that compares BTC price to its 200-day moving average. Currently sitting at 1.1x, the indicator remains firmly within the neutral zone (0.8–1.5x) and well below levels historically associated with market tops. Adler notes that this suggests Bitcoin is still trading at a discount to previous bull markets, and could have significant room to rally if momentum returns. With mixed macroeconomic data and a neutral valuation model, Bitcoin’s next move will depend on whether bulls can reclaim control. A clean breakout above all-time highs would likely ignite a new phase of price discovery. But until then, caution prevails — the longer BTC stalls, the more likely sellers will test support. BTC Consolidates Below All-Time High Bitcoin continues to consolidate just below its all-time high, trading at $108,474 at the time of writing. The 3-day chart shows price action tightly compressed between key levels, with strong support at $103,600 and resistance at $109,300 — the latter being tested repeatedly over the last two weeks. This range-bound structure reflects indecision as bulls attempt to break higher, while bears fail to reclaim control. Notably, BTC remains firmly above the 50-day (blue), 100-day (green), and 200-day (red) moving averages, indicating underlying strength in the trend. Volume remains moderate, but it has picked up during upward moves, suggesting continued buy-side interest near support. The longer BTC holds above $105K and maintains this higher low structure, the greater the probability of a breakout toward uncharted territory above $112K. However, rejection at the $109K level could lead to another retest of support zones. Momentum indicators, while not shown, are likely flattening, consistent with the sideways action. Given the narrowing range and rising tension between support and resistance, a decisive move is imminent. Traders should watch for a clean breakout above $109,300 or breakdown below $103,600 — either will likely define Bitcoin’s direction heading into Q3. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin has remained in a tight consolidation range below its all-time high of $112,000 since late May, frustrating both bulls and bears. Despite multiple failed breakout attempts, BTC has held key demand zones above critical support levels, suggesting strong underlying strength. As price compresses, volatility is declining — a classic sign that a major move could be imminent. Top analyst Axel Adler shared fresh data indicating that Bitcoin is currently experiencing a textbook Bollinger Bands squeeze. The spread between the upper and lower bands has narrowed to just 7.7%, marking one of the tightest ranges seen throughout the current bull cycle. Historically, such compressions have preceded explosive moves in either direction. Given Bitcoin’s position above support and within a broader uptrend, the probability favors an upside breakout. This technical setup, combined with macroeconomic tailwinds and renewed investor interest, could serve as the catalyst for BTC to finally push into price discovery. If confirmed, it would not only open the door for a run beyond $112K but also reset expectations across the crypto market. In the coming days, all eyes will be on how Bitcoin responds to this mounting pressure. Bitcoin Consolidates As Bollinger Bands Squeeze Signals Next Move Bitcoin continues to consolidate just below its all-time high of $112,000, frustrating bulls and bears alike. Despite ongoing resistance at the top, bears have failed to drive the price below $105,000, confirming strong demand at key support levels. As the price tightens, the broader macroeconomic picture adds complexity to the outlook. The US Congress recently passed President Donald Trump’s “big, beautiful” economic bill just before the July 4 deadline. The package includes tax cuts and aggressive public spending, which are expected to fuel inflation in the coming quarters. Coupled with optimistic job data, these developments are shaping investor sentiment across traditional and crypto markets. On the technical side, Axel Adler highlighted a classic Bollinger Bands squeeze currently forming on Bitcoin’s chart. The range between the upper and lower bands has compressed to just 7.7%—one of the tightest readings seen throughout the ongoing bull cycle. This kind of volatility drop suggests energy accumulation, with the price preparing for a significant move. Historical patterns offer insight: of six major Bollinger Band squeezes this cycle, four resulted in immediate upside moves, and two triggered brief corrections before rallies resumed. With this precedent, Adler believes the current setup most likely foreshadows a bullish breakout, although minor consolidation beforehand is still possible. BTC Price Holds Above Key Moving Averages The 12-hour Bitcoin chart shows BTC trading at $108,892, struggling to break above the key resistance zone around $109,300. This level has acted as a rejection point multiple times since early June, confirming its strength. Despite the recent pullback, price remains above the 50 SMA ($106,442) and 100 SMA ($106,671), indicating bullish momentum is still in play. Importantly, bulls have defended the $106,000–$107,000 support range several times, preventing deeper corrections and keeping BTC within a tight consolidation range. Volume has declined in recent sessions, suggesting the market is waiting for a catalyst to break out of this range. If Bitcoin closes decisively above $109,300 on strong volume, a run toward the $112,000 all-time high becomes increasingly likely. On the downside, a break below the 100 SMA could expose BTC to the next major support around $103,600, a key level that has held since mid-May. The 200 SMA (currently at $99,093) remains a long-term support zone that hasn’t been tested in months. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
Over the past week, Bitcoin (BTC) has been seesawing within a narrow price range of $107,000 to $110,000, offering little clarity on the direction of its next major move. However, the latest technical analysis suggests that the flagship cryptocurrency may be on the verge of a breakout to the upside, potentially eyeing a new all-time high (ATH). Bitcoin Set To Clear Descending Broadening Wedge According to a recent X post by crypto trader Merlijn The Trader, Bitcoin appears poised to break out of a bullish descending broadening wedge pattern. The trader noted that if BTC can sustain support above the $104,000 level, it may target a potential high of $144,000. For the uninitiated, a descending broadening wedge is a bullish chart pattern formed by two diverging trendlines sloping downward, where price makes lower highs and lower lows over time. It suggests growing volatility and selling exhaustion, often leading to a breakout to the upside once resistance is broken. The following two-day chart shows BTC adhering to this pattern since early January 2025. A significant reversal occurred in April, when Bitcoin surged from a local low of around $76,000 to over $100,000 in just a few weeks. Meanwhile, fellow crypto analyst Ted Pillows shared a similar outlook. He shared the following weekly BTC chart, noting that Bitcoin just posted its highest-ever weekly close. He also highlighted that the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator has formed a bullish cross – similar to the setup in Q4 2024. To explain, MACD bullish cross occurs when the MACD line – short-term moving average – crosses above the signal line – longer-term moving average – signaling a potential shift from bearish to bullish momentum. This crossover is often seen as an early indicator of a price uptrend or buying opportunity. Bitcoin experienced strong price appreciation in Q4 2024, climbing from approximately $58,000 on October 6 to $108,000 by December 15. At the time, the rally was also fueled by renewed market optimism following Republican candidate Donald Trump’s victory in the US presidential election. BTC Price May Stall Temporarily While Bitcoin seems poised to set new ATHs in the near term, some analysts caution that a short pause in the uptrend may occur. For instance, seasoned analyst Ali Martinez observed that some long-term holders are beginning to take profits. Similarly, strong US employment data for June 2025 is likely to force the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to delay interest rate cuts, which may result in a temporary price pullback in risk-on assets, including BTC. That said, Bitcoin’s weekly RSI continues to trend upward, offering bulls hope that a new high may be within reach. At press time, BTC is trading at $108,160, down 0.1% over the past 24 hours.
Ahead of an important week for digital assets legislation, Stand With Crypto (SWC) and over 60 other industry firms sent a letter urging House lawmakers to champion clear regulations for the industry and unlock its potential. Industry Coalition Pushes For CLARITY Act Approval On Monday, advocacy group Stand With Crypto, alongside 65 other firms and groups, sent a letter to the US House of Representatives urging lawmakers to support the bipartisan Digital Asset Market Clarity (CLARITY) Act of 2025 as the US approaches a “pivotal crossroad.” The industry coalition argued that digital assets continue to reshape the global economy, despite some efforts to “politicize crypto legislation,” adding that the US risks falling behind unless pro-crypto policies that fully embrace blockchain technology are quickly adopted. There are already signs of U.S. crypto leadership slipping. We cannot afford to let inaction and uncertainty jeopardize our ability to secure Americaʼs economic future. Above all else the U.S. crypto industry needs market structure — which ensures there are clear rules of the road and provides the regulatory clarity that developers, users, and advocates need to continue innovating. The letter explains that digital assets are “providing a foundation for a more inclusive, transparent, and secure digital economy,” and “opening doors for economic opportunity, innovation, and financial empowerment on a scale weʼve never seen before.” As such, crypto developers require clear guidance and safeguards to continue building blockchain systems, with standards for transparency, security, and accountability, and where users can control their digital assets. The lack of standardized rules has hindered institutional adoption, innovation, and pushed talent and businesses to more industry-friendly jurisdictions outside the US. Nonetheless, passing the long-awaited market structure bill would address these issues, the crypto coalition argues. House Lawmakers Prepare For ‘Crypto Week’ Notably, SWC’s letter comes ahead of the highly anticipated “Crypto Week,” which will see the review of three key legislations during the week of July 14 to 18, including the GENIUS Act and CLARITY Act. As reported by Bitcoinist, House Financial Services Committee Chair French Hill, House Agriculture Committee Chair Glenn Thompson, and Speaker Mike Johnson announced the upcoming discussion on rules on stablecoins, market structure, and central bank digital currency as part of Congress’s efforts to make America the crypto capital of the world. Chairman Thompson affirmed that “it will soon be time for the House to deliver for the American people and send CLARITY to the Senate. I thank House Leadership for recognizing the urgent need for CLARITY to cement American leadership in the digital asset space.” The bipartisan bill was introduced on May 29 by Chairman Hill, aiming to establish a regulatory framework for crypto assets and provide the long-awaited clarity and protection for the industry. If passed, the legislation will assign clear roles and responsibilities to the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), which would “not only enable and empower developers to innovate, but also protect consumers through choice, foster greater participation in the blockchain economy, and strengthen national security.” Nearly a month ago, the bill passed its two committee markups, but it still needs to pass the full House vote and the Senate before heading to President Donald Trump’s desk. However, its path to approval has been uncertain, as House Democrats have heavily criticized the bill, and some lawmakers have pushed to merge it with the GENIUS Act, making next week’s debate a pivotal moment for the legislation.
President Donald Trump’s social media company announced on Tuesday plans to launch a new crypto exchange-traded fund (ETF) that will track the prices of five different cryptocurrencies. The company filed paperwork with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on Tuesday, aiming for approval to introduce the “Crypto Blue Chip ETF” later this year. New Crypto Blue Chip ETF The proposed crypto ETF is designed to allocate 70% of its holdings in Bitcoin (BTC), the leading cryptocurrency, with an additional 15% in Ethereum (ETH), the second-largest digital asset. It will also include 8% in Solana (SOL), hold 5% in XRP, the cryptocurrency developed by Ripple Labs, and 2% in the digital asset created by Crypto.com (CRO), which is set to serve as the ETF’s digital custodian. This latest offering follows Trump Media’s earlier announcements about a simpler crypto ETF that only included Bitcoin and Ethereum. However, it remains unclear whether the company intends to proceed with that initial concept. Crypto ETFs have surged in popularity, providing investors a streamlined way to gain exposure to the crypto market without the need to purchase the assets directly. The increasing interest in these funds has been evident since the first Bitcoin ETFs began trading in US markets last year. Trump’s Crypto Strategy For The US Recent developments in regulatory guidance from the SEC could further facilitate the launch of such products. The agency has made moves towards creating a more favorable environment for crypto businesses, including dropping or pausing several enforcement actions against crypto companies since Trump took office. Over the past month, the regulatory agency, under the leadership of pro-crypto SEC Chairman Paul Atkins, has moved forward to end legal disputes with key players, such as Binance, Coinbase, and Uniswap. Interestingly, Trump’s stance on Bitcoin has evolved significantly as well. Once a skeptic of cryptocurrencies, he has since embraced the industry, which has become a source of substantial campaign contributions and support. While the Trump administration has actively supported crypto-friendly regulations, this has raised eyebrows among critics. Allegations of potential corruption have emerged from Democrats, alongside concerns from some within the crypto community about the implications of Trump’s family’s expanding crypto business ventures. At a recent news conference, Trump addressed these concerns, asserting that his family’s investments were entirely appropriate and highlighting his administration’s commitment to making the US the global leader in cryptocurrency. “If we didn’t have it, China would,” the President said. At the time of writing, the official TRUMP memecoin is trading at $8.58. This represents a 17% drop over the past month and an 88% drop from its record high of $73, which was reached 24 hours after the token’s launch. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com