Ethereum is trading above the $2,500 mark but continues to struggle with strong resistance near $2,600, a key level that has capped further upside in recent sessions. After gaining over 23% since June 22, ETH has shown signs of strength, reclaiming crucial levels and riding the wave of market-wide optimism. However, as the broader crypto market stalls, Ethereum’s momentum appears to be slowing down. The bullish impulse that drove ETH higher in late June is now meeting headwinds. Despite holding above important moving averages and maintaining a short-term uptrend, Ethereum has failed to break decisively above the $2,600 barrier. Analysts warn that a failure to reclaim this level with strong volume could lead to a short-term correction. Top analyst Carl Runefelt shared insights indicating a potential bearish setup on the 4-hour chart. According to Runefelt, Ethereum is forming a pattern that could lead to a pullback toward lower demand zones if momentum continues to fade. The coming days will be critical, as bulls attempt to maintain control while bears eye an opportunity to reclaim short-term dominance. Ethereum Faces A Critical Level Ethereum is approaching a crucial juncture following a week marked by volatility and renewed bullish momentum. After reclaiming the $2,500 level and rising over 23% since June 22, ETH has regained the attention of investors. However, the rally now faces a critical test: breaking above the $2,700 resistance level. A successful move above this threshold could ignite a broader altcoin rally, as Ethereum often acts as the leader for the altcoin market. Market sentiment remains cautiously optimistic, with bulls appearing to control short-term price action. Ethereum is trading above key moving averages and remains structurally bullish on higher timeframes. Yet, price has stalled just below the $2,600–$2,700 zone—a key supply area that must be flipped into support to confirm the next upward leg. A clean breakout could propel ETH into a new price range, allowing other altcoins to follow and break above their own resistance levels. Carl Runefelt cautions that Ethereum is currently forming a rising wedge pattern on the 4-hour chart—a potentially bearish setup. If the pattern plays out, ETH could fail to break higher and instead fall back toward lower support zones. Runefelt points to the $2,200 level as a key horizontal support that could be tested if momentum weakens and sellers regain short-term control. For now, Ethereum’s price action remains in a tight range. A decisive breakout or breakdown will likely define the direction of the altcoin market in the weeks ahead. Traders and investors alike are closely watching ETH’s next move, as it could set the tone for the remainder of the summer crypto cycle. ETH Price Analysis: Key Resistance At $2,600 Ethereum’s price action continues to reflect a tug-of-war between bulls and bears as it hovers around the $2,550 level, just under the critical resistance at $2,600. After reclaiming that level briefly, ETH failed to hold its gains and pulled back slightly, suggesting sellers remain active at this zone. The chart shows Ethereum forming a lower high in the near term, raising short-term caution among traders. The 50-day and 100-day simple moving averages are now converging around $2,500–$2,530, acting as immediate support. As long as ETH holds above these levels, the medium-term outlook remains constructive. However, any sustained drop below these moving averages could invite additional downside pressure, possibly dragging the price back toward the $2,400 range or even testing the 200-day SMA near $2,180. Volume has remained moderate, showing that neither side has taken full control. Until ETH decisively breaks above $2,600 and flips it into support, the uptrend remains unconfirmed. The next key resistance sits at $2,700. Conversely, a rejection from current levels could indicate the formation of a range-bound structure or a rising wedge breakdown, as some analysts like Carl Runefelt suggest. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
Ethereum is trading at a critical level after reclaiming the $2,400 mark, showing resilience in the face of market-wide volatility. Bulls have managed to defend key support levels following a recent fakeout below $2,200, but momentum remains fragile as ETH struggles to establish a clear trend. Despite attempts to push higher, price action is consolidating near the mid-range, suggesting indecision among traders. However, fundamental strength continues to build beneath the surface. Top analyst Ted Pillows highlighted a major on-chain development: the percentage of Ethereum supply being staked has reached a new all-time high. This milestone signals rising confidence among long-term holders and validators, who are increasingly locking up ETH to secure the network and earn yield. Elevated staking levels historically coincide with lower active supply and reduced sell pressure—an encouraging sign for bulls anticipating a breakout. As macroeconomic uncertainty and geopolitical risks persist, Ethereum’s price behavior at this level could determine whether the broader altcoin market finally ignites. For now, ETH sits at a technical and psychological crossroads, with both bulls and bears preparing for the next major move. All eyes are on staking data and price structure to guide what comes next. Ethereum Builds Bullish Momentum As Staking Hits All-Time High Ethereum has climbed 75% from its April lows, showing strong recovery and resilience in a volatile market. Despite this impressive rebound, ETH remains nearly 98% below its all-time high, leaving significant upside potential. Many analysts believe Ethereum could be gearing up for a rally that may trigger the long-awaited altseason. However, caution still lingers in the market due to ongoing global risks and macroeconomic uncertainty, including rising interest rates and geopolitical tensions. The growing optimism is supported by improving on-chain fundamentals. Ted Pillows highlighted a key metric showing that the percentage of Ethereum supply staked has reached a new all-time high of 29.02%. This steady increase in staked ETH reflects strong long-term conviction from holders, who are choosing to lock up their assets to support the network and earn yield rather than sell during market turbulence. Historically, high levels of staking reduce active circulating supply, which can ease sell pressure and fuel bullish price movements. Combined with technical strength and growing confidence among long-term investors, Ethereum appears well-positioned for a breakout, provided bulls can hold current levels and reclaim resistance zones. ETH Reclaims Key Level But Faces Resistance Ethereum (ETH) is showing renewed strength after bouncing from its April 2025 lows and reclaiming the $2,400 level. On the weekly chart, ETH is up over 10% this week, closing firmly above the 200-week simple moving average (SMA) at $2,437.52 — a key threshold that previously acted as both resistance and support in past cycles. Reclaiming this level is a bullish sign and shows that buyers are stepping back in after months of selling pressure. However, Ethereum now faces significant resistance around the $2,625–2,660 zone, where the 100-week and 50-week SMAs converge. This zone has historically served as a pivot for major price action, and a clear break above it would likely trigger a broader rally targeting the $2,800–$3,000 range. Volume has also picked up, signaling renewed interest, though it remains below early 2024 levels. This indicates cautious optimism among traders, especially as global macro uncertainty and geopolitical tensions continue to weigh on markets. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
Ethereum has maintained a position above $2,500 following a mild retracement from its recent high above $2,700 last week. At the time of writing, the asset trades at $2,564, reflecting a 2.4% increase in the past 24 hours. While the broader crypto market remains in a bullish structure, largely driven by Bitcoin’s sharp upward movement, Ethereum’s relative momentum appears more tempered, raising questions among traders and analysts about its current positioning. Retail Quiet, Institutions Watchful Despite the price remaining above key levels, some analysts believe Ethereum has yet to fully capture the broader market’s enthusiasm. One such observation was presented by CryptoQuant’s analyst Burak Kesmeci, who noted that retail activity around Ethereum remains low compared to previous cycles. This could suggest that Ethereum’s rally is still in its early stages, with potential upside left unpriced by the market. The absence of retail enthusiasm, which historically coincided with local tops, may signal that Ethereum has not yet reached a peak for this cycle. Kesmeci’s analysis highlighted a notable shift in retail engagement around Ethereum. Drawing comparisons to the 2021 bull run, the analyst pointed out that earlier rallies were often accompanied by sharp spikes in retail trading frequency. However, during the current cycle, retail interest has been largely muted, even as Bitcoin surged from $16,000 to over $111,000. While ETH saw a brief uptick in retail activity in December 2024, that momentum faded quickly amid broader market reactions to geopolitical developments, including renewed tariff tensions. The analyst concluded that the market may still be in a phase of accumulation, as the typical retail-driven euphoria has yet to materialize. In this scenario, Ethereum could benefit from increased participation in the coming months, particularly if macroeconomic sentiment stabilizes. The potential for delayed retail entry suggests that Ethereum’s current rally might only be at its midpoint rather than nearing a local top. Ethereum Technical Setups Suggest Bullish Continuation On the technical front, several market analysts continue to hold a positive outlook for ETH. A pseudonymous analyst known as Crypto Busy posted on X that the asset’s monthly chart remains structurally intact, referencing a previous key resistance level near $1,410. According to the post, Ethereum’s breakout above this long-standing barrier has turned it into support, replicating a setup that historically preceded major rallies. Further reinforcing this perspective, analyst Michaël van de Poppe emphasized the importance of Ethereum’s price action near the $2,400 level. He noted that this zone offered a strong buying opportunity and believes that if Ethereum can successfully retest and hold above this threshold, a move toward $3,000 could follow. According to van de Poppe, such a breakout would signal the beginning of a new bullish phase for ETH. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView